Remember 2014? It was just three years ago, but it feels like a lifetime, if you lived through the election of 2016. But 2014 was a more simple time. Back then, Ted Cruz was only just teasing the idea of running for president, and he actually made a prediction that seems a bit prescient, given the current fight over…
Did Carl Sagan really warn about a time in the future when manufacturing jobs would slip away, when the average person would have virtually no control over their political lives, and when we would all cling to superstitions? Yes, Sagan did predict just that. The screenshot you may have seen floating around social…
In 1999, Davide Bowie sat down for a TV interview with BBC host Jeremy Paxman. Bowie explains that if he were a kid of the 1990s he wouldn’t have become a pop star. Instead, Bowie probably would’ve become obsessed with the internet. Why? According to Bowie, that’s where the potentially interesting—chaotic, nihilistic,…
The post originally appeared on VICE UK.
Here at VICE, we like to make predictions. We predict trends, but we're also conscious about world events and politics and stuff, so we predict a bag of that shit as well. But we rarely reflect on the predictions we make. We just kind of make them, and then they get consumed by whatever new Vine-born dance has just cropped up. That comes to an end today.
Before we crack on with 2017, we're going to look at a few of the things we said would happen in 2016, and whether they actually did or not.
Firstly, in January of this year, Mike Pearl wrote this piece about shit we should be wary of in the coming year. A lot of it was about flooding and mudslides in Los Angeles, but one of the more relevant things mentioned was the notion that Europe would become more strained by nationalism. It would be impossible to argue against this, as far-right parties across the continent gain greater ground, such as Marine Le Pen's Nation Front, the recently banned neo-Nazi group National Action in the UK, and many more across countries like Poland, Hungary, and Austria.
It also makes mention of the Syrian conflict becoming "messier," which—as anyone who has been witnessing the extremely violent recapturing of Aleppo by President Bashar al Assad's forces could testify—would also be quite hard to discount.
In January, Amelia Abraham wrote us a guide on how to make life better for LGBTQ people in 2016. She says, "One is that we need to find a way to stop violence against trans women of color, and another is that we need everybody to stop worrying so much about what genitals everybody else has." In the three months after the Brexit vote, homophobic attacks rose by 147 percent, according to the Guardian, which is an extremely large amount. Trans people worldwide are also still feeling the sting of subjugation and bullying, especially the young. In a study conducted by the Cincinnati Children's Hospital in August of this year, 42 percent of transgender youth reported self-harming, and 30 percent said they have attempted suicide. Young trans people are still facing massive social anxiety, so that's something we should really fucking fix.
"Worst case scenario," said Gavin Haynes in his forward-thinking piece, "How to Revolutionize British Politics in 2016," "President Trump doing a Thatcher atop a US tank breaching the border into Pakistan, the people of Britain watching him on flickering TVs as the power dims under the immense forex strain created by an EU exit, while an additional three million refugees charter their own P&Os to a Europe too transfixed by its own political paralysis to bother stopping them, and paratroopers go into The Gorbals to quell 1970s-style 'troubles' amongst rebellious Scottish tribes now hell-bent on secession. Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi personally and publicly beheads President Assad as ISIS raises the Black Flag in Damascus. And Oliver Letwin is dragged out of his car and Rodney King-ed by politically nerdy Brixton youth."
While this approximation hasn't quite reached its full potential in the real world, the election of Mr. Trump has given a lot of the planet's citizens cause to tussle their collars in nervousness. And with an ever-increasing amount of extreme bloodshed occurring in Syria, the flow of people desperate to escape it by any means necessary doesn't seem to be coming to an end anytime soon.
VICE's drug correspondent Max Daly was told by UK Drug Watch boss Michael Linnell that "if you can get one message across to people who take drugs in 2016, to make drugs better and safer, it would be to take smaller doses. They need to remember the old drug user saying: 'You can always take more, but you can never take less.'"
Unfortunately, this message doesn't seem to have made it to the kids as much as we'd have liked. News stories about deaths from overdoses on extremely strong ecstasy have peppered various outlets over the course of the year, and two cases happening in the vicinity of London nightclub Fabric caused its temporary closure and loss of license. The availability of Naloxone, a drug that has the potential to bring opioid abusers "back to life" after overdoses, is still made scarce by its high price—something pharmaceutical companies have been criticized for.
So there you go. We've made very little progress in these pressing social issues, and in a time when certain parts of modern life—like technology and medicine, for instance—are getting better at an exponential rate, year after year, it's more than a little troubling that we still struggle not to kill one another and let one another die for no reason. Looks like we're bad at predicting stuff. Here's our prediction for 2017, anyway: It's going to be fucking shit.
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Larry Kudlow is best known as that talking head on financial TV who wants to cut taxes for rich people. He’s been saying the same thing for a long, long time. But now he’s in the running to become Donald Trump’s choice for the chairman of his Council of Economic Advisers. And if Kudlow’s predictions from a decade ago are any indication, he’s probably a really bad pick.
Another year has passed, which means we’re another step closer to the tomorrow of our dreams. Here are the most futuristic developments of 2016.
Remember the year 2007? I bet you do. You were so young and vibrant and full of life. You had that thing you were going to do but then never did. And then there was that place you wanted to go but never went. You probably dreamed of what the world might look like in ten years time—filled with technological wonders and…
For the journalists at CNN—everywhere, really, but especially at CNN—now is an appropriate time to become very afraid.
Nobody knows what the future holds. That’s what makes it so interesting—and often terrifying. But it’s become increasingly clear that the person who knows the least about the future is the one that everybody has been turning to for answers about the future of American politics: Nate Silver, the founder of FiveThirtyEight.